bindas74
06-10 12:50 PM
As per this everyone who got pre-adjudicated would be receiving their GC in FY2010. But, there are people from EB3I with PD as late as 2007 who got RFEs recently and got their cases pre-adjudicated( I am one of them even though my PD is March 2003 and when I called up NSC, they said my case was pre-adjudicated and waiting for a Visa number ).
With EB3I staying at 1 Nov 2001 when the new FY2010 quota starts in October doesnt match to what Ron Gotcher says.
Anyone have any opinion?
http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html
Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement
Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.
We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.
At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.
If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.
Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.
Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.
Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:
EB2 Worldwide: Current
EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
EB3 China: March 1, 2003
EB3 India: November 1, 2001
EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003
These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.
Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.
Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved
With EB3I staying at 1 Nov 2001 when the new FY2010 quota starts in October doesnt match to what Ron Gotcher says.
Anyone have any opinion?
http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html
Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement
Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.
We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.
At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.
If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.
Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.
Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.
Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:
EB2 Worldwide: Current
EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
EB3 China: March 1, 2003
EB3 India: November 1, 2001
EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003
These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.
Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.
Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved
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gc4me
04-16 09:23 PM
It is not a mistake. Logically, ROW eb3 should not even be retrogressed.
EB3:
it was moved with 1 (one) year from AUG-01-2002 to AUG-01 2003 - was it? Or they just entered wrongly???
EB3:
it was moved with 1 (one) year from AUG-01-2002 to AUG-01 2003 - was it? Or they just entered wrongly???
nk2006
01-09 12:14 PM
Alternative work-arounds (Having it both ways) :):) : Here is what some people do. .............
This is totally legal and I was advised to do this by my current company's HR. She said "Wing it". To paraphrase her, if you dont need coverage, then dont send payment and let them cancel. If you need coverage, then send them payment so that you are covered while you needed doctor/hospital. It works. No one likes to send a check of 1000-1500 dollars to insurance company for one month COBRA insurance if you end up not needing any benefits at all during that month. Right?
I did the same (a few years ago when I was on H1b) and I think its perfectly legal and common practice to do. In fact our HR gave us COBRA documents and written advice to this affect (note: its a well-known company with 100k+ employees at that time; they would not have advised if its not legal)
This is totally legal and I was advised to do this by my current company's HR. She said "Wing it". To paraphrase her, if you dont need coverage, then dont send payment and let them cancel. If you need coverage, then send them payment so that you are covered while you needed doctor/hospital. It works. No one likes to send a check of 1000-1500 dollars to insurance company for one month COBRA insurance if you end up not needing any benefits at all during that month. Right?
I did the same (a few years ago when I was on H1b) and I think its perfectly legal and common practice to do. In fact our HR gave us COBRA documents and written advice to this affect (note: its a well-known company with 100k+ employees at that time; they would not have advised if its not legal)
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RajForGC
06-07 12:02 PM
Friends,
EB3 - Perm May 2005, Sep Approved, 140 Approved Jan 2006
Eb2 - Perm April 2007, May 2 Perm Approved, 140/485/765
filed May 18th, 140 Approved 23rd May, Finger Print Next week.
So, My question is , if this Bill get pass then do I have to reapply again. If then my employer will send me home rather than doing so. Please2 let me know.
Thanks
EB3 - Perm May 2005, Sep Approved, 140 Approved Jan 2006
Eb2 - Perm April 2007, May 2 Perm Approved, 140/485/765
filed May 18th, 140 Approved 23rd May, Finger Print Next week.
So, My question is , if this Bill get pass then do I have to reapply again. If then my employer will send me home rather than doing so. Please2 let me know.
Thanks
more...
ArunAntonio
09-05 12:40 AM
Please think about the amount of effort that is going on to plan for this rally.
- The mental effort required to plan the logistics of such a huge event
- The physical energy required to make all this a possibility
- The amount of time the members working on this are sacrificing.. time that they could have spent with family or other gainful things
- The financial impact this is causing to the invloved members
and all just not for themselves but for all of US.
What is your contribution to this effort?
Please show up.
Think ..
I am sure you can DO IT.
- The mental effort required to plan the logistics of such a huge event
- The physical energy required to make all this a possibility
- The amount of time the members working on this are sacrificing.. time that they could have spent with family or other gainful things
- The financial impact this is causing to the invloved members
and all just not for themselves but for all of US.
What is your contribution to this effort?
Please show up.
Think ..
I am sure you can DO IT.
gc2
01-04 03:03 PM
bring one wife here in US and the other can apply for immigration to canada.
more...
mhathi
09-19 03:05 PM
Ok, I've seen a lot of threads about go to the rally, actions items, I've reading a lot of guys saying dont ask for your receipt status, dont waste your time etc, etc.
Yes we did the rally we were great with all those signs, and appearing in the Indy TV but...
Question remains open:
1. When are they going to increase the GC quota?
2. When congress id going to do something?
I've the feeling that that's it we made our point but we are still with no GC, waiting receipts..............
Things don't happen overnight... From your questions it looks like you half expected lawmakers to come out in the rally and announce that we hereby increase visa numbers to ####. Things dont happen that way.
The rally put our issues in front of the lawmakers eyes so they can help in influencing and introducing legislation for us... and when they do, we need to be equally active as for the CIR with faxes and emails and calls to lawmakers...
Yes we did the rally we were great with all those signs, and appearing in the Indy TV but...
Question remains open:
1. When are they going to increase the GC quota?
2. When congress id going to do something?
I've the feeling that that's it we made our point but we are still with no GC, waiting receipts..............
Things don't happen overnight... From your questions it looks like you half expected lawmakers to come out in the rally and announce that we hereby increase visa numbers to ####. Things dont happen that way.
The rally put our issues in front of the lawmakers eyes so they can help in influencing and introducing legislation for us... and when they do, we need to be equally active as for the CIR with faxes and emails and calls to lawmakers...
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immigrationmatters30
05-29 09:17 PM
done!
more...
prioritydate
08-09 11:25 PM
Still cannot believe that 2004 cases are not getting approved!!!
This is ridiculous!
This is ridiculous!
hair 2007 Skoda Fabia Combi Scout
jonty_11
09-30 02:43 PM
Hi,
AP E filing needs us to enter teh USCIS office that our application is peninding..
How to get that...My receipt number starts with SRC
AP E filing needs us to enter teh USCIS office that our application is peninding..
How to get that...My receipt number starts with SRC
more...
reddymjm
01-04 02:41 PM
Does PMP offer any advantages in terms of promotions or getting a new job? Please share your experience.
Yes
Yes
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rajuram
06-19 09:48 PM
Pay and move forward. Most of us have spent years to get this stage. Do not spoil it now....hopefully more $$$ will pour in once you get past this stage!
I guess most of the folks here are busy preparing to apply for 485. I have different problem here.
My employer's attorney is charging me outrageous fees of around $5000 to
apply for 485, AP and EAD for me and my spouse. This excludes USCIS fees. I work on hourly basis, so I should be taking care of immigration fees. My employer is not allowing me to file through another law firm.
Do I have any other options. How much do they charge usually.
I guess most of the folks here are busy preparing to apply for 485. I have different problem here.
My employer's attorney is charging me outrageous fees of around $5000 to
apply for 485, AP and EAD for me and my spouse. This excludes USCIS fees. I work on hourly basis, so I should be taking care of immigration fees. My employer is not allowing me to file through another law firm.
Do I have any other options. How much do they charge usually.
more...
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jonty_11
06-19 04:06 PM
in short ,,they stop processing ur case once ur date rerogresses....!!!
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god_bless_you
03-16 11:40 AM
can we stress on getting unused 100,000 unused visa numbers from previous years in mean time as a short term relief!!
is new bill required for doing this ?
is new bill required for doing this ?
more...
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sanbaj
07-31 05:30 PM
Thanks, Sanbaj! Your response does help.
You are welcome !!
You are welcome !!
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another one
07-06 04:20 PM
of being a WHITE KISS ARCE
STUPIDITY
LOVE BEING A SUBMISSIVE SLAVE
so much for a free modern world...bbbrrrrrrrrrrrr
off to India ..no more pepsi, coke jeans for me ...the real GANDHIGIRI is wear home made khadi clothes....hit them where it hurts and that is MONEY
HELP LOCAL INDIAN ENTERPRENEURS ..SENDING FLOWERS is really cheesy and idiotic ..who came up with this stupid idea???
take it easy. You have fallen behind on times...
STUPIDITY
LOVE BEING A SUBMISSIVE SLAVE
so much for a free modern world...bbbrrrrrrrrrrrr
off to India ..no more pepsi, coke jeans for me ...the real GANDHIGIRI is wear home made khadi clothes....hit them where it hurts and that is MONEY
HELP LOCAL INDIAN ENTERPRENEURS ..SENDING FLOWERS is really cheesy and idiotic ..who came up with this stupid idea???
take it easy. You have fallen behind on times...
more...
makeup Skoda Fabia Hatch (2007)
Sheila Danzig
02-25 01:44 PM
You can only use experience IF it is for EB3 AND EVEN THEN ONLY IF it so states on the labor certificate.
However, I have seen a few that have slid by the adjudicators. But the chances are very very slim and I have seen cases picked up later on if it was incorrectly approved ... but not always.
I'm certain you cannot do that. While applying for H1B Visa, you can use experience in lieu of education, but while Perm/I140, they consider only 1 degree. Either its Masters or its Bachelors...even both of them are not considered as aggregates.
If your attorney is planning that way, he may not have handled such cases before... :eek:
You cannot substitute degree with experience while applying for Perm/I140.
However, I have seen a few that have slid by the adjudicators. But the chances are very very slim and I have seen cases picked up later on if it was incorrectly approved ... but not always.
I'm certain you cannot do that. While applying for H1B Visa, you can use experience in lieu of education, but while Perm/I140, they consider only 1 degree. Either its Masters or its Bachelors...even both of them are not considered as aggregates.
If your attorney is planning that way, he may not have handled such cases before... :eek:
You cannot substitute degree with experience while applying for Perm/I140.
girlfriend 2007 Skoda Octavia Scout
Carlau
06-19 02:25 PM
It has to be anyone of a rank signing the letter saying that you work in this position for this salary, someone like your boss, human resources, whoever is nice enough to sign it, they are not really strict on this one, they are on the I-140. Do you have that approved?
hairstyles lt; Back to Skoda Fabia vRS 2000
user1205
02-20 05:08 PM
The link doesn't work anymore :(
Shirdibaba
11-04 06:59 PM
Thakyou Nrk,
what do u mean by preadjudicated?
I cudnt wait nomore hence took an appt wt infopass for Nov 10th.
Hope all goes well.
U bet i would b ready to follow others, coz its gotten me all the worries in the recent past like never before.
Thnx again.SB
what do u mean by preadjudicated?
I cudnt wait nomore hence took an appt wt infopass for Nov 10th.
Hope all goes well.
U bet i would b ready to follow others, coz its gotten me all the worries in the recent past like never before.
Thnx again.SB
24fps
02-27 05:36 PM
Define "unprofessional" and how it applies to the replies here?
In what part of the world is standing up against drug peddlers and traffickers is limited to "personal" interpretations of moral? Drug laws are not intended to satisfy some lawmakers personal morals, but it is there because selling drugs is illegal regardless of what yours, mine or anyone else's personal moral fabric is.
What the hell are you talking about and what are YOU smoking?
Listen kid, i don't wanna get into a mud slinging immature tough-behind-the-keyboard match with you, i've seen you respond in here and its funny how you keep using the same line over and over again, lol.
Again, if you don't get the difference between the tone of a professional response against a personal opinion based lash-back then thats your problem not mine :)
In what part of the world is standing up against drug peddlers and traffickers is limited to "personal" interpretations of moral? Drug laws are not intended to satisfy some lawmakers personal morals, but it is there because selling drugs is illegal regardless of what yours, mine or anyone else's personal moral fabric is.
What the hell are you talking about and what are YOU smoking?
Listen kid, i don't wanna get into a mud slinging immature tough-behind-the-keyboard match with you, i've seen you respond in here and its funny how you keep using the same line over and over again, lol.
Again, if you don't get the difference between the tone of a professional response against a personal opinion based lash-back then thats your problem not mine :)
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